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Post Info TOPIC: How many guys will get promoted in 2012?


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How many guys will get promoted in 2012?


I'm going to say 300



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I'd say that is a pretty fair number - what score do you think #300 will have? 85? In other words, what do you think the minimum score necessary will be in order to be promoted in 2012? I think everyone 85 plus gets made this year.

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Maybe an 83 and change or an 84 only because of guys who won't have enough time on the job to get made.  This will impact the guys in the top 33 percent of the list in a good way.  



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#269 on 2009 list had an 82 i think the 2011 list will be similar

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I have a feeling this list will be a little longer and bit more top-heavy, but not the 2000 person list some people are saying.

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I don't really think it will be top heavy.  Most people I know that passed are between a 75 and an 82 gross score.  If you got an 84 or better you got yourself away from the pack.



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Where can I go to find a full copy of the 2009 list?



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I agree with big foot.. I have heard a lot of low 70's..



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So far, from first hand discussions, and elsewhere, it seems a high concentration of 90 and above are those that are not at 5 yrs yet and wont be until 2013. If I'm to guess, I believe you could see high 80's in the first class based on pass overs.

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Agree with bigfoot, most people I know got around 77. Out of around 15 or 16 that passed in my command only about four got in the 80s and one guy got a 90. I know one guy personally that got a 94 and I don't think a high number of people did that well, he was studying for around four hours a day+ for six months straight.

I'm hoping to get promoted this year, maybe in the summer. After the list comes out if it looks like it's gonna' take longer I'm putting in for a transfer :p

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6 month, you know guys with a 77 raw score or 77 final score?

I got 77 final

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If you got a 77 final you'll be in the middle bottom

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Talking about 77 raw, seems to be around the average from what I see. At my precinct there were about four guys with low 70s, four guys way up, and around eight within a few points of the 77 area.

I think 77 - 80 is going to be the median score.

If you're above an 80 you're likely in the top 50%

Above an 85 you're at least the top 25%.

Think less than 10% of passing people made above a 90 raw.

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With my 90 score I'm just hoping I'll be good to go when I hit 5 on jan 2013

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Yeah cry.... youll be in the February 2013 class.  



-- Edited by bigfoot45 on Thursday 5th of January 2012 10:00:26 AM

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bigfoot45 wrote:

If you got a 77 final you'll be in the middle bottom


 

That's pretty much right in line with what I'm seeing in my command. The really "fat" part of the list should be from the 80-84 area.

That's my best guess. We'll know when we know.



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Im betting 500 in 2012. The rest in 2013.

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1,000,000.

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